2011 NFL Team Preview
Buffalo Bills

2010 Record: 4-12
2010 Record ATS (Against the Spread): 8-7-1

Outlook:

Strengths: Out of nowhere Ryan Fitzpatrick had a stellar passing season throwing for over 3,000 yards with 23 TD's and 15 INT's.  WR Steve Johnson caught a majority of his passes (82 - 1,073 yards). If these key players can improve and rookie C.J. Spiller comes on strong, you could see a Bills team with a much better record.

Weaknesses:
Two words: Rushing Defense.  The Bills allowed the league worst rushing attempts (571) and rushing yards (2,714) as well as yards per attempt (4.8).  Rushing is the backbone of football and if you are this bad at stopping the run you don't stand a snowball's chance in Haiti of being successful.  Buffalo's defense is their biggest concern in general.

Betting Prognosis:  The Bills play in the AFC East which is going to be one of the toughest divisions this year.  So, we don't expect their win/loss record to improve by much, maybe a game or two.  They may be good enough to cover some spreads though. Look to bet on the Buffalo Bills when they are home underdogs by 6 or more points and heavy road dogs of 11.5+. Buffalo rated in the lower end of all major offensive and defensive statistics. It's hard to suggest to people to bet their hard earned money on a team this bad. But they will improve some and last year they covered half of their spreads and we feel they should cover about half this year. Look for value. Look for home underdogs against teams that are "up and down" all season.

Key Matchups:
Week 3 vs. New England
Week 9 vs. N.Y. Jets
Week 11 at Miami