Monday Night Football
October 31, 2011
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers
The San Diego Chargers go to Arrow Head Stadium in Kansas City this Monday Night. The Chargers currently lead the division with a 4-2 record and the Chiefs have the same amount of wins but one more loss than San Diego (4-3) because of the bye week. Whichever team comes out of this one with a win will be division leader.
The point spread is currently Chargers -3.5. The total is 44.5. The public is currently betting heavier on the Chargers by about a 2:1 ratio. There won't be much line movement between now and then and we believe the line will settle in at 3 even. The "sharps", as they call themselves, may chunk some last minute money on Kansas City. They always love the home underdog that the public hates.
With that said we are feeling the same way about this game. The Chiefs have come on strong in recent weeks and The Chargers have not. QB Phillip Rivers has been mediocre at best this season and the team seems bi-polar. Head coach and Halloween zombie Norv Turner doesn't really know what direction he is taking the offense. Are they a passing team? Are they a running team? Nobody knows. All of these factors make us like Kansas City +3'
Current streak:
Kansas City has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
San Diego: 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS
Kansas City: 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS
San Diego most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the division are 7-3
Kansas City most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
San Diego is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
San Diego is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Kansas City is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games
