Free College Basketball Pick

Tonight at 6:30 PM EST The (11-5) Michigan Wolverines will take on the undefeated (16-0) Ohio State Buckeyes.  The line is Ohio State -10 points and the total is 127.5.  Michigan has dropped 10 straight games to ranked opponents and 4 of those came at Ann Arbor.  However, they just took Kansas into overtime this past weekend and dropped that game by only seven points.  Scoring has been an issue as of late for the Wolverines. In the game against Kansas they only managed a record low 18 points in the first half!!  But they rallied in the second to keep it close and almost win.

The core of Ohio State's success is freshman Jared Sullinger. He is averaging over 17 points and 10 rebounds per contest.  But other members of the team are playing well and this is a very solid basketball team.  Will Buford will be playing tonight and that is significant because he is a "Wolverine killer".  Last year he scored 24 points in a game against Michigan and averages over 18 points per game in three games against them.

The Buckeyes have won 11 of 13 against the Wolverines recently and lead the all-time series 87-71.  The Buckeyes do have a losing record in Ann Arbor however. 

Trends to consider:

MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. MICHIGAN is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. MICHIGAN is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after covering 2 of its last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

Team records:
Ohio State: 16-0 SU, 7-6 ATS
Michigan: 11-5 SU, 6-4 ATS

Ohio State most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Penn State are 9-1
After playing Minnesota are 7-3
After a win are 10-0

Michigan most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Indiana are 4-6
After playing Kansas are 1-0
After a loss are 5-5

A few more trends to consider:
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Michigan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Michigan is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 6 games when playing at home against Ohio State
Michigan is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Ohio State

Free Picks: Michigan +10 and Over 127.5

Next up:
Ohio State home to Penn State, Saturday, January 15
Michigan at Indiana, Saturday, January 15