Wednesday Night.
7:05 PM EST
Game 5
NBA Playoffs - Eastern Conference Semifinals
Miami Leads Series 3-1

The Boston Celtics return to Miami to face the Miami Heat after losing an overtime battle with Miami on Monday.  Boston is an old beat up team and Miami is the new power in the East. And with the superior management and talent on the Miami Heat they should be a force for years to come.  Boston's only real up and coming young player, Rondo, is hurt and playing with a bum arm.  He injured it in the game before last game when the Celtics actually won.

Doc Rivers has done as much as he can with this group. In the off season they will be looking to cut loose a little bit of the older baggage. In this humble man's opinion that will include Ray Allen.  If Miami can keep the chemistry going and stay healthy they can win 3 or 4 titles before the current team dissolves.

Tonight the Miami Heat are favored by 7 and the total is 181. We believe Miami will win but Boston may cover the large spread just barely.  Also, we like the UNDER in this game. 

The combo of James, Wade, and Bosh will be too much for the aged Boston team. Last game Bosh found himself again and chipped in 20 points and 12 rebounds which are the perfect and ideal numbers, as long as James and Wade score 20+ each.  There is no doubt that Miami is the team to beat, not Boston or Chicago.  In fact we can see Dallas making it to the finals for the West and Miami for the East for a 2006 rematch. Miami will win that match up easily.


Boston:
Team record: 56-26 SU, 38-42-2 ATS

The total has gone OVER in 6 of last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of last 6 games
is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Miami are 5-5
After playing Miami are 4-6
After a loss are 7-3

Miami:
Team record: 58-24 SU, 39-42-1 ATS

is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of last 5 games

When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing are 6-4
After playing are 7-3
After a win are 8-2

BETTING TRENDS

BOSTON CELTICS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami

MIAMI HEAT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Boston
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Miami is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Miami is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Boston