The Bulls have been on somewhat of a high lately. They just beat conference foes Orlando Magic in Orlando. And the Magic had just pulled off a stunning comeback win against the Miami Heat.  So by all logic, the Bulls are the team to beat right now.  They travel to Miami Sunday March 6 to give Miami a chance to do just that.  The early line is Miami -5.  Record wise the teams are almost exactly the same. The Bulls are 42-18 and the Heat are 43-19.  Against the Spread, however, the Bulls have faired much better. They are 37-22-1 vs. Miami's 28-33-1. This is for two reasons. Miami has had overblown spreads most of the season based on their starting lineup.  Chicago, on the other hand, has been very surprising. People knew they would be better this year, but they are surpassing many expectations.

Heads up these teams are 5-5 of the last ten ATS.  They both average around 100 points on offense but Chicago's defense is a little better, allowing 5 points less per game.  Lebron James, Dwayne Wade, and Chris Bosh will all be playing at full strength on Sunday and they really want this win, especially after the fact that they have lost 4 of their last 5 games!  Conversely, the Bulls come in with some confidence. They have won 4 of their last 5 games.

So what's going to give? We are leaning toward a Miami Heat win and cover here.  I expect D-Wade to really come out and put on a show. To me he is STILL the best player in Miami and will be for a year or two until his leg's finally give out some.

TOP 3/BOTTOM 3

CHICAGO BULLS
Chicago is second in rebounds in the league at 44.4.
Chicago has the second stingiest defence in the league at 91.9 points per game.
Chicago has the best field goal percentage against in the league allowing 42.8.
Chicago is second in three points made allowed in the league with 5.4 per game.
Chicago leads the league in rebounds allowed at 39.0.

MIAMI HEAT
Miami is third in the league in field goal percentage at 47.5.
Miami is second best in the league in field goal percentage against allowing 42.9.
Miami gives up the third lowest free throw percentage allowing 74.5% per game.

BETTING TRENDS

CHICAGO BULLS
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Chicago's last 25 games when playing on the road against Miami
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami

MIAMI HEAT
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Miami is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing Chicago
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Miami's last 25 games when playing at home against Chicago